Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Garrett Mitchell DH
- 2 Brice Turang 2B
- 3 Gary Sánchez C
- 4 Jake Bauers 1B
- 5 Luis Rengifo 3B
- 6 Brandon Lockridge CF
- 7 Greg Jones LF
- 8 Luis Matos RF
- 9 David Hamilton SS
- 1 Jakob Marsee CF
- 2 Xavier Edwards 2B
- 3 Otto Lopez SS
- 4 Kyle Stowers LF
- 5 Agustín Ramírez DH
- 6 Liam Hicks C
- 7 Connor Norby 1B
- 8 Owen Caissie RF
- 9 Graham Pauley 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| MIA | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with MIL listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.26 vs actual lineup 4.21
- Player execution −1.21 R/G Players fell 1.21 short of the lineup's 4.21 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.26 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Mitchell 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.57 vs actual lineup 3.51
- Player execution +1.49 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.51 projection by 1.49 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.43 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Marsee 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.3 – 3.6 — actual was 3 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.