Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Kevin McGonigle 3B
- 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 3 Colt Keith DH
- 4 Riley Greene LF
- 5 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 6 Kerry Carpenter RF
- 7 Wenceel Pérez CF
- 8 Javier Báez SS
- 9 Jake Rogers C
- 1 Roman Anthony LF
- 2 Andruw Monasterio SS
- 3 Willson Contreras 1B
- 4 Trevor Story DH
- 5 Wilyer Abreu RF
- 6 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
- 7 Caleb Durbin 3B
- 8 Connor Wong C
- 9 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-5 with DET listed first across 7 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.12 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.96 vs actual lineup 4.85
- Player execution −0.84 R/G Players fell 0.84 short of the lineup's 4.85 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.96 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.13 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.17 vs actual lineup 3.04
- Player execution −2.04 R/G Players fell 2.04 short of the lineup's 3.04 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.17 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Story 0-for-4 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 5.0 – 3.2 — actual was 4 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.