Toronto Blue Jays vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Nathan Lukes RF
- 2 Ernie Clement 2B
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
- 4 Jesús Sánchez LF
- 5 Eloy Jiménez DH
- 6 Andrés Giménez SS
- 7 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 8 Myles Straw CF
- 9 Tyler Heineman C
- 1 Ketel Marte DH
- 2 Corbin Carroll RF
- 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
- 4 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
- 5 Adrian Del Castillo C
- 6 Jose Fernandez 1B
- 7 Nolan Arenado 3B
- 8 Ildemaro Vargas 2B
- 9 Alek Thomas CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| AZ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with TOR listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.38 vs actual lineup 3.35
- Player execution −1.35 R/G Players fell 1.35 short of the lineup's 3.35 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.38 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Okamoto 2-for-4 from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.83 vs actual lineup 4.86
- Player execution +1.14 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.86 projection by 1.14 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.17 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Marte 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.4 – 4.8 — actual was 2 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.