Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 2 Kevin McGonigle SS
- 3 Jahmai Jones DH
- 4 Dillon Dingler C
- 5 Matt Vierling LF
- 6 Wenceel Pérez RF
- 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 8 Hao-Yu Lee 3B
- 9 Javier Báez CF
- 1 Roman Anthony DH
- 2 Willson Contreras 1B
- 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
- 4 Trevor Story SS
- 5 Jarren Duran LF
- 6 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
- 7 Marcelo Mayer 2B
- 8 Caleb Durbin 3B
- 9 Connor Wong C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-5 with DET listed first across 7 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.60 vs actual lineup 3.55
- Player execution −3.55 R/G Players fell 3.55 short of the lineup's 3.55 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −3.60 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Torres 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.18 vs actual lineup 3.10
- Player execution −2.10 R/G Players fell 2.10 short of the lineup's 3.10 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.18 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Anthony 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.6 – 3.2 — actual was 0 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.