Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Brandon Nimmo RF
- 2 Corey Seager SS
- 3 Wyatt Langford LF
- 4 Jake Burger 1B
- 5 Evan Carter CF
- 6 Joc Pederson DH
- 7 Josh Jung 3B
- 8 Josh Smith 2B
- 9 Danny Jansen C
- 1 Brendan Donovan 3B
- 2 Cal Raleigh C
- 3 Julio Rodríguez CF
- 4 Josh Naylor 1B
- 5 Randy Arozarena LF
- 6 Luke Raley RF
- 7 J.P. Crawford SS
- 8 Dominic Canzone DH
- 9 Cole Young 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-2 with TEX listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.08 vs actual lineup 4.04
- Player execution +0.96 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.04 projection by 0.96 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.92 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jung 3-for-5 from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.87 vs actual lineup 2.90
- Player execution −2.90 R/G Players fell 2.90 short of the lineup's 2.90 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −2.86 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Raleigh 0-for-3 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 4.1 – 2.9 — actual was 5 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.