Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Gunnar Henderson SS
- 2 Taylor Ward LF
- 3 Pete Alonso 1B
- 4 Dylan Beavers DH
- 5 Samuel Basallo C
- 6 Leody Taveras CF
- 7 Colton Cowser RF
- 8 Coby Mayo 3B
- 9 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Chase DeLauter RF
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Kyle Manzardo DH
- 5 Rhys Hoskins 1B
- 6 Daniel Schneemann SS
- 7 Angel Martínez LF
- 8 Bo Naylor C
- 9 Juan Brito 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-3 with BAL listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.18 vs actual lineup 4.14
- Player execution +1.86 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.14 projection by 1.86 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.82 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jackson HR from the 9-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.74 vs actual lineup 4.78
- Player execution −0.78 R/G Players fell 0.78 short of the lineup's 4.78 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.74 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 4.2 – 4.7 — actual was 6 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.