Toronto Blue Jays vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Davis Schneider LF
- 2 Daulton Varsho CF
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
- 4 Jesús Sánchez RF
- 5 Lenyn Sosa DH
- 6 Andrés Giménez SS
- 7 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 8 Ernie Clement 2B
- 9 Tyler Heineman C
- 1 Ketel Marte DH
- 2 Corbin Carroll RF
- 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
- 4 Jose Fernandez 1B
- 5 Nolan Arenado 3B
- 6 Ildemaro Vargas 2B
- 7 James McCann C
- 8 Tim Tawa LF
- 9 Jorge Barrosa CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with TOR listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.01 vs actual lineup 2.98
- Player execution +0.02 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.98 projection by 0.02 (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.01 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.92 vs actual lineup 4.86
- Player execution +1.14 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.86 projection by 1.14 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.08 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 3.0 – 4.9 — actual was 3 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.