Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Edouard Julien 2B
- 2 Mickey Moniak LF
- 3 Hunter Goodman C
- 4 Troy Johnston 1B
- 5 TJ Rumfield DH
- 6 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 7 Willi Castro 3B
- 8 Jake McCarthy CF
- 9 Jordan Beck RF
- 1 Carlos Correa 3B
- 2 Yordan Alvarez DH
- 3 Isaac Paredes 2B
- 4 Christian Walker 1B
- 5 Cam Smith RF
- 6 Yainer Diaz C
- 7 Joey Loperfido CF
- 8 Nick Allen SS
- 9 Brice Matthews LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| HOU | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / D+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-2 with COL listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.36 vs actual lineup 2.33
- Player execution −1.33 R/G Players fell 1.33 short of the lineup's 2.33 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −1.36 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Julien 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.76 vs actual lineup 4.81
- Player execution −1.81 R/G Players fell 1.81 short of the lineup's 4.81 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.76 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Paredes 0-for-3 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 2.4 – 4.8 — actual was 1 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.