Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Chandler Simpson LF
- 2 Junior Caminero 3B
- 3 Jonathan Aranda 1B
- 4 Yandy Díaz DH
- 5 Jake Fraley RF
- 6 Cedric Mullins CF
- 7 Richie Palacios 2B
- 8 Hunter Feduccia C
- 9 Taylor Walls SS
- 1 Andrew Benintendi LF
- 2 Munetaka Murakami DH
- 3 Miguel Vargas 1B
- 4 Colson Montgomery SS
- 5 Sam Antonacci 2B
- 6 Tanner Murray 3B
- 7 Tristan Peters RF
- 8 Reese McGuire C
- 9 Luisangel Acuña CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| CWS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / D- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-0 with TB listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.08 vs actual lineup 3.07
- Player execution +4.93 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.07 projection by 4.93 (scored 8)
- Game variance +4.92 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Simpson 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.13 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.55 vs actual lineup 3.42
- Player execution −0.42 R/G Players fell 0.42 short of the lineup's 3.42 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.55 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Vargas 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 3.1 – 3.5 — actual was 8 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.