Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Curtis Mead 1B
- 3 Daylen Lile LF
- 4 Brady House 3B
- 5 CJ Abrams SS
- 6 Joey Wiemer CF
- 7 Jorbit Vivas 2B
- 8 Keibert Ruiz C
- 9 Luis García Jr. DH
- 1 Oneil Cruz CF
- 2 Brandon Lowe 2B
- 3 Bryan Reynolds LF
- 4 Ryan O'Hearn RF
- 5 Marcell Ozuna DH
- 6 Nick Gonzales SS
- 7 Spencer Horwitz 1B
- 8 Nick Yorke 3B
- 9 Henry Davis C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| PIT | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-2 with WSH listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.40 vs actual lineup 4.43
- Player execution −4.43 R/G Players fell 4.43 short of the lineup's 4.43 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −4.40 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Wood 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.35 vs actual lineup 4.41
- Player execution −2.41 R/G Players fell 2.41 short of the lineup's 4.41 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.35 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Cruz 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.4 – 4.3 — actual was 0 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.