New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Francisco Lindor SS
- 2 Luis Robert CF
- 3 Brett Baty 1B
- 4 Bo Bichette 3B
- 5 Francisco Alvarez C
- 6 Carson Benge RF
- 7 Marcus Semien 2B
- 8 MJ Melendez DH
- 9 Tommy Pham LF
- 1 Kyle Tucker RF
- 2 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 3 Will Smith C
- 4 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 5 Max Muncy 3B
- 6 Andy Pages CF
- 7 Dalton Rushing DH
- 8 Hyeseong Kim SS
- 9 Alex Freeland 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| LAD | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade D+ / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-3 with NYM listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.49 vs actual lineup 2.41
- Player execution −0.41 R/G Players fell 0.41 short of the lineup's 2.41 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.49 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lindor 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.56 vs actual lineup 2.57
- Player execution +5.43 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.57 projection by 5.43 (scored 8)
- Game variance +5.44 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Rushing HR from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 2.5 – 2.6 — actual was 2 – 8.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.