Cleveland Guardians vs St. Louis Cardinals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Chase DeLauter RF
- 3 José Ramírez DH
- 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
- 5 George Valera LF
- 6 Juan Brito 2B
- 7 Daniel Schneemann 3B
- 8 Bo Naylor C
- 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
- 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
- 2 Iván Herrera DH
- 3 Alec Burleson 1B
- 4 Jordan Walker RF
- 5 Nolan Gorman 3B
- 6 Masyn Winn SS
- 7 Nathan Church LF
- 8 Pedro Pagés C
- 9 Victor Scott CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| STL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with CLE listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.69 vs actual lineup 4.71
- Player execution −1.71 R/G Players fell 1.71 short of the lineup's 4.71 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.69 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
DeLauter 0-for-3 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.22 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.95 vs actual lineup 4.73
- Player execution +0.27 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.73 projection by 0.27 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.05 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Church 3-for-4 from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.7 – 5.0 — actual was 3 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.