Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Yandy Díaz DH
- 2 Jonathan Aranda 1B
- 3 Junior Caminero 3B
- 4 Ryan Vilade RF
- 5 Ben Williamson 2B
- 6 Chandler Simpson LF
- 7 Jonny DeLuca CF
- 8 Nick Fortes C
- 9 Taylor Walls SS
- 1 Miguel Vargas 3B
- 2 Chase Meidroth 2B
- 3 Munetaka Murakami 1B
- 4 Everson Pereira RF
- 5 Edgar Quero C
- 6 Colson Montgomery DH
- 7 Tanner Murray LF
- 8 Derek Hill CF
- 9 Luisangel Acuña SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| CWS | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / D- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-0 with TB listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.09 vs actual lineup 3.11
- Player execution +4.89 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.11 projection by 4.89 (scored 8)
- Game variance +4.92 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Caminero 0-for-3 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.55 vs actual lineup 3.50
- Player execution +1.50 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.50 projection by 1.50 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.45 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Vargas 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.1 – 3.5 — actual was 8 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.