Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jakob Marsee CF
- 2 Xavier Edwards 2B
- 3 Agustín Ramírez C
- 4 Liam Hicks 1B
- 5 Otto Lopez SS
- 6 Owen Caissie RF
- 7 Connor Norby DH
- 8 Javier Sanoja LF
- 9 Graham Pauley 3B
- 1 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin C
- 3 Matt Olson 1B
- 4 Austin Riley 3B
- 5 Mike Yastrzemski LF
- 6 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 7 Dominic Smith DH
- 8 Michael Harris II CF
- 9 Mauricio Dubón SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| ATL | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with MIA listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.56 vs actual lineup 3.53
- Player execution +1.47 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.53 projection by 1.47 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.44 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Edwards 0-for-3 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost −0.14 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.45 vs actual lineup 3.58
- Player execution +2.42 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.58 projection by 2.42 (scored 6)
- Game variance +2.55 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jr. 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.6 – 3.5 — actual was 5 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.