Cleveland Guardians vs St. Louis Cardinals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Chase DeLauter DH
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
- 5 George Valera RF
- 6 Angel Martínez LF
- 7 Daniel Schneemann 2B
- 8 Bo Naylor C
- 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
- 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
- 2 Iván Herrera C
- 3 Alec Burleson 1B
- 4 Jordan Walker RF
- 5 Ramón Urías 3B
- 6 Masyn Winn SS
- 7 Yohel Pozo DH
- 8 Thomas Saggese LF
- 9 Victor Scott II CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| STL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with CLE listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.14 vs actual lineup 3.11
- Player execution +1.89 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.11 projection by 1.89 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.86 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Schneemann HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.20 vs actual lineup 3.15
- Player execution +2.85 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.15 projection by 2.85 (scored 6)
- Game variance +2.80 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 3.1 – 3.2 — actual was 5 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.