Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ernie Clement 2B
- 2 Daulton Varsho CF
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero 1B
- 4 Jesús Sánchez LF
- 5 Eloy Jiménez DH
- 6 Nathan Lukes RF
- 7 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 8 Andrés Giménez SS
- 9 Brandon Valenzuela C
- 1 Sal Frelick RF
- 2 William Contreras C
- 3 Brice Turang 2B
- 4 Gary Sánchez DH
- 5 Jake Bauers 1B
- 6 Luis Matos LF
- 7 Garrett Mitchell CF
- 8 Joey Ortiz SS
- 9 David Hamilton 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with TOR listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.38 vs actual lineup 3.41
- Player execution +5.59 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.41 projection by 5.59 (scored 9)
- Game variance +5.62 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Giménez HR from the 8-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.13 vs actual lineup 3.10
- Player execution +3.90 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.10 projection by 3.90 (scored 7)
- Game variance +3.87 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 3.4 – 3.1 — actual was 9 – 7.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.