Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Luis García 1B
- 3 CJ Abrams SS
- 4 Daylen Lile LF
- 5 Jacob Young CF
- 6 José Tena DH
- 7 Jorbit Vivas 3B
- 8 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 9 Keibert Ruiz C
- 1 Oneil Cruz CF
- 2 Brandon Lowe 2B
- 3 Bryan Reynolds DH
- 4 Ryan O'Hearn RF
- 5 Nick Yorke 3B
- 6 Spencer Horwitz 1B
- 7 Konnor Griffin SS
- 8 Jake Mangum LF
- 9 Henry Davis C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| PIT | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-2 with WSH listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.14 vs actual lineup 3.05
- Player execution +1.95 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.05 projection by 1.95 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.86 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jr. 0-for-5 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.19 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.91 vs actual lineup 3.72
- Player execution +12.28 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.72 projection by 12.28 (scored 16)
- Game variance +12.09 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Davis 2-for-4 from the 9-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.1 – 3.9 — actual was 5 – 16.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.