Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Kody Clemens 1B
- 2 Trevor Larnach LF
- 3 Luke Keaschall 2B
- 4 Josh Bell DH
- 5 Matt Wallner RF
- 6 Victor Caratini C
- 7 Tristan Gray 3B
- 8 Brooks Lee SS
- 9 James Outman CF
- 1 Ernie Clement 2B
- 2 Daulton Varsho CF
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero 1B
- 4 Jesús Sánchez LF
- 5 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 6 Nathan Lukes RF
- 7 Eloy Jiménez DH
- 8 Andrés Giménez SS
- 9 Brandon Valenzuela C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| TOR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 4-3 with MIN listed first across 7 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.75 vs actual lineup 4.68
- Player execution +3.32 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.68 projection by 3.32 (scored 8)
- Game variance +3.25 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Gray HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.06 vs actual lineup 3.06
- Player execution −1.06 R/G Players fell 1.06 short of the lineup's 3.06 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.06 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jiménez 2-for-4 from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 3.1 — actual was 8 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.