ARCHIVE April 12, 2026
April 12, 2026 · NL West

Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Dodgers

April 12, 2026UNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumOvercast 65°F · 7 mph, Out To CF
AWAY
Texas Rangers
8-7
5
vs
HOME
Los Angeles Dodgers
11-4
2

Starting pitchers

AWAY · TEX
Jacob deGrom
Jacob deGrom
IP 6
HOME · LAD
Roki Sasaki
Roki Sasaki
IP 4

Lineups

AWAY · TEX
  1. 1 Brandon Nimmo RF
  2. 2 Evan Carter CF
  3. 3 Corey Seager SS
  4. 4 Jake Burger 1B
  5. 5 Joc Pederson DH
  6. 6 Danny Jansen C
  7. 7 Josh Smith 2B
  8. 8 Josh Jung 3B
  9. 9 Ezequiel Duran LF
HOME · LAD
  1. 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
  2. 2 Kyle Tucker RF
  3. 3 Andy Pages CF
  4. 4 Freddie Freeman 1B
  5. 5 Max Muncy 3B
  6. 6 Alex Freeland 2B
  7. 7 Dalton Rushing C
  8. 8 Alex Call LF
  9. 9 Hyeseong Kim SS

Box score

  123456789 R
TEX 002001020 5
LAD 100000100 2

Manager comparison

Both managers grade B- / B entering this matchup.

AWAY · TEX
Skip Schumaker
B- Lineup 1.0 R Bunts 0.3 R IBBs 0.9 R
HOME · LAD
Dave Roberts
B Lineup 0.2 R Bunts 0.3 R IBBs 1.0 R

Recent form

AWAY · TEX
3-7 L2 -20 run diff
LLWLLLWWLL
HOME · LAD
5-5 W1 +16 run diff
WLWWLLLLWW

Season series: 1-2 with TEX listed first across 3 prior meetings.

Tactical analysis

RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.

AWAY · Texas Rangers
  • Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.73 vs actual lineup 4.69
  • Player execution +0.31 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.69 projection by 0.31 (scored 5)
  • Game variance +0.27 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation

Seager 0-for-4 batting 3rd

HOME · Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Manager lineup cost −0.16 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.93 vs actual lineup 3.09
  • Player execution −1.09 R/G Players fell 1.09 short of the lineup's 3.09 projection (scored 2)
  • Game variance −0.93 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation

Lineup spots out of order vs season production

COUNTERFACTUAL

Optimal lineups projected 4.7 – 2.9 — actual was 5 – 2.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.

Read the full methodology.