Miami Marlins vs Detroit Tigers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Austin Slater RF
- 2 Agustín Ramírez C
- 3 Jakob Marsee CF
- 4 Otto Lopez SS
- 5 Heriberto Hernandez LF
- 6 Connor Norby 1B
- 7 Xavier Edwards 2B
- 8 Deyvison De Los Santos DH
- 9 Javier Sanoja 3B
- 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
- 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 3 Colt Keith DH
- 4 Riley Greene LF
- 5 Dillon Dingler C
- 6 Kerry Carpenter RF
- 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 8 Zach McKinstry 3B
- 9 Javier Báez CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| DET | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-3 with MIA listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.16 vs actual lineup 3.11
- Player execution −1.11 R/G Players fell 1.11 short of the lineup's 3.11 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.16 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ramírez 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.57 vs actual lineup 3.52
- Player execution +4.48 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.52 projection by 4.48 (scored 8)
- Game variance +4.43 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 3.2 – 3.6 — actual was 2 – 8.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.