ARCHIVE April 12, 2026
April 12, 2026 · NL East

Cleveland Guardians vs Atlanta Braves

April 12, 2026Truist ParkClear 81°F · 7 mph, L To R
AWAY
Cleveland Guardians
9-7
1
vs
HOME
Atlanta Braves
10-6
13

Starting pitchers

AWAY · CLE
Tanner Bibee
Tanner Bibee
IP 4.2
HOME · ATL
Chris Sale
Chris Sale
IP 6

Lineups

AWAY · CLE
  1. 1 Angel Martínez LF
  2. 2 Chase DeLauter RF
  3. 3 José Ramírez 3B
  4. 4 David Fry C
  5. 5 Rhys Hoskins 1B
  6. 6 Kyle Manzardo DH
  7. 7 Juan Brito 2B
  8. 8 Daniel Schneemann CF
  9. 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
HOME · ATL
  1. 1 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
  2. 2 Drake Baldwin C
  3. 3 Matt Olson 1B
  4. 4 Austin Riley 3B
  5. 5 Mike Yastrzemski LF
  6. 6 Ozzie Albies 2B
  7. 7 Dominic Smith DH
  8. 8 Mauricio Dubón CF
  9. 9 Jorge Mateo SS

Box score

  123456789 R
CLE 000001000 1
ATL 030240040 13

Manager comparison

Both managers grade C+ / C+ entering this matchup.

AWAY · CLE
Stephen Vogt
C+ Lineup 1.5 R Bunts 0.7 R IBBs 0.4 R
HOME · ATL
Walt Weiss
C+ Lineup 1.7 R Bunts 0.0 R IBBs 0.2 R

Recent form

AWAY · CLE
6-4 W3 +7 run diff
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HOME · ATL
7-3 L1 +18 run diff
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Season series: 1-2 with CLE listed first across 3 prior meetings.

Tactical analysis

RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.

AWAY · Cleveland Guardians
  • Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.76 vs actual lineup 2.67
  • Player execution −1.67 R/G Players fell 1.67 short of the lineup's 2.67 projection (scored 1)
  • Game variance −1.76 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation

Martínez 0-for-4 batting 1st

HOME · Atlanta Braves
  • Manager lineup cost +0.12 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.12 vs actual lineup 4.00
  • Player execution +9.00 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.00 projection by 9.00 (scored 13)
  • Game variance +8.88 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation

Baldwin 0-for-5 batting 2nd

COUNTERFACTUAL

Optimal lineups projected 2.8 – 4.1 — actual was 1 – 13.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.

Read the full methodology.