Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Edouard Julien 2B
- 2 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 3 Mickey Moniak RF
- 4 Hunter Goodman DH
- 5 Troy Johnston 1B
- 6 Jordan Beck LF
- 7 Brett Sullivan C
- 8 Kyle Karros 3B
- 9 Jake McCarthy CF
- 1 Ramón Laureano LF
- 2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 2B
- 3 Jackson Merrill CF
- 4 Manny Machado 3B
- 5 Nick Castellanos RF
- 6 Gavin Sheets 1B
- 7 Miguel Andujar DH
- 8 Freddy Fermin C
- 9 Jake Cronenworth SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| SD | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-6 with COL listed first across 7 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.98 vs actual lineup 3.95
- Player execution +1.05 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.95 projection by 1.05 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.02 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Goodman 0-for-4 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.75 vs actual lineup 4.75
- Player execution +4.25 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.75 projection by 4.25 (scored 9)
- Game variance +4.25 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Andujar 2-for-4 from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.0 – 4.8 — actual was 5 – 9.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.