Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Brandon Nimmo RF
- 2 Ezequiel Duran LF
- 3 Corey Seager SS
- 4 Jake Burger 1B
- 5 Joc Pederson DH
- 6 Evan Carter CF
- 7 Kyle Higashioka C
- 8 Josh Smith 2B
- 9 Josh Jung 3B
- 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
- 2 Kyle Tucker RF
- 3 Will Smith C
- 4 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 5 Max Muncy 3B
- 6 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 7 Andy Pages CF
- 8 Alex Freeland 2B
- 9 Hyeseong Kim SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| LAD | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with TEX listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.16 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.34 vs actual lineup 4.19
- Player execution −1.19 R/G Players fell 1.19 short of the lineup's 4.19 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.34 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Duran 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost −0.22 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.98 vs actual lineup 5.19
- Player execution +0.81 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 5.19 projection by 0.81 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.02 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Tucker 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 4.3 – 5.0 — actual was 3 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.