ARCHIVE April 11, 2026
April 11, 2026 · NL East

Cleveland Guardians vs Atlanta Braves

April 11, 2026Truist ParkClear 81°F · 5 mph, R To L
AWAY
Cleveland Guardians
9-6
6
vs
HOME
Atlanta Braves
9-6
0

Starting pitchers

AWAY · CLE
Parker Messick
Parker Messick
IP 6.2
HOME · ATL
Martín Pérez
Martín Pérez
IP 5

Lineups

AWAY · CLE
  1. 1 Steven Kwan CF
  2. 2 Angel Martínez LF
  3. 3 José Ramírez 3B
  4. 4 David Fry RF
  5. 5 Chase DeLauter DH
  6. 6 Rhys Hoskins 1B
  7. 7 Juan Brito 2B
  8. 8 Austin Hedges C
  9. 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
HOME · ATL
  1. 1 Ronald Acuña RF
  2. 2 Drake Baldwin DH
  3. 3 Ozzie Albies 2B
  4. 4 Matt Olson 1B
  5. 5 Austin Riley 3B
  6. 6 Mauricio Dubón CF
  7. 7 Mike Yastrzemski LF
  8. 8 Jonah Heim C
  9. 9 Jorge Mateo SS

Box score

  123456789 R
CLE 100001013 6
ATL 000000000 0

Manager comparison

Both managers grade C+ / C+ entering this matchup.

AWAY · CLE
Stephen Vogt
C+ Lineup 1.5 R Bunts 0.7 R IBBs 0.4 R
HOME · ATL
Walt Weiss
C+ Lineup 1.7 R Bunts 0.0 R IBBs 0.2 R

Recent form

AWAY · CLE
6-4 W3 +7 run diff
WWWLLLWWWL
HOME · ATL
7-3 L1 +18 run diff
LWLWWWLWWW

Season series: 1-2 with CLE listed first across 3 prior meetings.

Tactical analysis

RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.

AWAY · Cleveland Guardians
  • Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.75 vs actual lineup 2.68
  • Player execution +3.32 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.68 projection by 3.32 (scored 6)
  • Game variance +3.25 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation

Kwan 0-for-4 batting 1st

HOME · Atlanta Braves
  • Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.44 vs actual lineup 2.47
  • Player execution −2.47 R/G Players fell 2.47 short of the lineup's 2.47 projection (scored 0)
  • Game variance −2.44 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation

Lineup spots out of order vs season production

COUNTERFACTUAL

Optimal lineups projected 2.8 – 2.4 — actual was 6 – 0.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.

Read the full methodology.