Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Maikel Garcia 3B
- 2 Bobby Witt Jr. SS
- 3 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
- 4 Salvador Perez DH
- 5 Carter Jensen C
- 6 Lane Thomas CF
- 7 Jonathan India 2B
- 8 Starling Marte RF
- 9 Michael Massey LF
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Angel Martínez LF
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 David Fry DH
- 5 Chase DeLauter RF
- 6 Rhys Hoskins 1B
- 7 Juan Brito 2B
- 8 Austin Hedges C
- 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| CLE | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-3 with KC listed first across 5 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.76 vs actual lineup 3.75
- Player execution −1.75 R/G Players fell 1.75 short of the lineup's 3.75 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.76 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Perez 0-for-4 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost +0.12 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.79 vs actual lineup 4.67
- Player execution +5.33 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.67 projection by 5.33 (scored 10)
- Game variance +5.21 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Brito 2-for-4 from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.8 – 4.8 — actual was 2 – 10.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.