Los Angeles Dodgers vs Toronto Blue Jays
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Shohei Ohtani P
- 2 Kyle Tucker RF
- 3 Will Smith C
- 4 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 5 Max Muncy 3B
- 6 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 7 Andy Pages CF
- 8 Alex Freeland 2B
- 9 Miguel Rojas SS
- 1 George Springer DH
- 2 Daulton Varsho CF
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero 1B
- 4 Jesús Sánchez LF
- 5 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 6 Ernie Clement 2B
- 7 Nathan Lukes RF
- 8 Andrés Giménez SS
- 9 Tyler Heineman C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-1 with LAD listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.12 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.30 vs actual lineup 3.42
- Player execution −0.42 R/G Players fell 0.42 short of the lineup's 3.42 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.30 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ohtani 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.35 vs actual lineup 2.37
- Player execution +1.63 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.37 projection by 1.63 (scored 4)
- Game variance +1.65 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 3.3 – 2.4 — actual was 3 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.