Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Colt Keith DH
- 2 Kevin McGonigle 3B
- 3 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 4 Riley Greene LF
- 5 Dillon Dingler C
- 6 Zach McKinstry RF
- 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 8 Parker Meadows CF
- 9 Javier Báez SS
- 1 Byron Buxton CF
- 2 Austin Martin LF
- 3 Luke Keaschall 2B
- 4 Ryan Jeffers C
- 5 Victor Caratini 1B
- 6 Josh Bell DH
- 7 Matt Wallner RF
- 8 Royce Lewis 3B
- 9 Brooks Lee SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-2 with DET listed first across 2 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.11 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.21 vs actual lineup 3.10
- Player execution −1.10 R/G Players fell 1.10 short of the lineup's 3.10 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.21 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Greene 0-for-4 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.16 vs actual lineup 3.15
- Player execution +0.85 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.15 projection by 0.85 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.84 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Martin 0-for-3 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 3.2 – 3.2 — actual was 2 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.