Los Angeles Dodgers vs Toronto Blue Jays
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
- 2 Kyle Tucker RF
- 3 Will Smith C
- 4 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 5 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 6 Andy Pages CF
- 7 Max Muncy 3B
- 8 Hyeseong Kim SS
- 9 Alex Freeland 2B
- 1 George Springer DH
- 2 Daulton Varsho CF
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
- 4 Jesús Sánchez LF
- 5 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 6 Ernie Clement 2B
- 7 Nathan Lukes RF
- 8 Andrés Giménez SS
- 9 Brandon Valenzuela C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-1 with LAD listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.11 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.33 vs actual lineup 3.44
- Player execution +0.56 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.44 projection by 0.56 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.67 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Smith 0-for-5 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.06 vs actual lineup 3.10
- Player execution −2.10 R/G Players fell 2.10 short of the lineup's 3.10 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.06 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Varsho 0-for-3 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 3.3 – 3.1 — actual was 4 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.