Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ketel Marte 2B
- 2 Corbin Carroll RF
- 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
- 4 Gabriel Moreno C
- 5 Adrian Del Castillo DH
- 6 Nolan Arenado 3B
- 7 Ildemaro Vargas 1B
- 8 Alek Thomas CF
- 9 Jorge Barrosa LF
- 1 Francisco Lindor SS
- 2 Bo Bichette 3B
- 3 Jorge Polanco DH
- 4 Luis Robert CF
- 5 Brett Baty RF
- 6 Mark Vientos 1B
- 7 Marcus Semien 2B
- 8 Carson Benge LF
- 9 Francisco Alvarez C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| NYM | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / D+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-0 with AZ listed first across 2 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.84 vs actual lineup 3.88
- Player execution −0.88 R/G Players fell 0.88 short of the lineup's 3.88 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.84 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Perdomo 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.62 vs actual lineup 3.52
- Player execution +0.48 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.52 projection by 0.48 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.38 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 3.8 – 3.6 — actual was 3 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.