Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Brandon Lockridge LF
- 2 William Contreras C
- 3 Luis Rengifo 3B
- 4 Gary Sánchez 1B
- 5 Joey Ortiz SS
- 6 Luis Matos DH
- 7 Sal Frelick RF
- 8 Blake Perkins CF
- 9 David Hamilton 2B
- 1 Roman Anthony DH
- 2 Jarren Duran LF
- 3 Willson Contreras 1B
- 4 Wilyer Abreu RF
- 5 Trevor Story SS
- 6 Marcelo Mayer 2B
- 7 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
- 8 Connor Wong C
- 9 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-1 with MIL listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.14 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.77 vs actual lineup 4.64
- Player execution −2.64 R/G Players fell 2.64 short of the lineup's 4.64 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.77 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Rengifo 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.48 vs actual lineup 3.39
- Player execution −0.39 R/G Players fell 0.39 short of the lineup's 3.39 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.48 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Anthony 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 3.5 — actual was 2 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.