Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jeremy Peña SS
- 2 Yordan Alvarez DH
- 3 Jose Altuve 2B
- 4 Isaac Paredes 3B
- 5 Christian Walker 1B
- 6 Cam Smith RF
- 7 Jake Meyers CF
- 8 Yainer Diaz C
- 9 Brice Matthews LF
- 1 Edouard Julien DH
- 2 Mickey Moniak CF
- 3 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 4 Troy Johnston RF
- 5 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 6 Willi Castro 2B
- 7 Jordan Beck LF
- 8 Brett Sullivan C
- 9 Kyle Karros 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| COL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade D+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-2 with HOU listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.53 vs actual lineup 3.50
- Player execution −2.50 R/G Players fell 2.50 short of the lineup's 3.50 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.53 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Peña 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.15 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.79 vs actual lineup 4.64
- Player execution +0.36 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.64 projection by 0.36 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.21 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Tovar 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 3.5 – 4.8 — actual was 1 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.