Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
- 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 3 Colt Keith 3B
- 4 Riley Greene DH
- 5 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 6 Zach McKinstry RF
- 7 Matt Vierling LF
- 8 Parker Meadows CF
- 9 Jake Rogers C
- 1 Byron Buxton DH
- 2 Trevor Larnach LF
- 3 Luke Keaschall 2B
- 4 Josh Bell 1B
- 5 Victor Caratini C
- 6 Matt Wallner RF
- 7 Royce Lewis 3B
- 8 James Outman CF
- 9 Brooks Lee SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-2 with DET listed first across 2 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.90 vs actual lineup 3.81
- Player execution −0.81 R/G Players fell 0.81 short of the lineup's 3.81 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.90 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Greene 0-for-3 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.15 vs actual lineup 3.13
- Player execution +3.87 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.13 projection by 3.87 (scored 7)
- Game variance +3.85 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 3.9 – 3.1 — actual was 3 – 7.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.