Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Alec Bohm 3B
- 5 Bryson Stott 2B
- 6 Adolis García RF
- 7 Brandon Marsh LF
- 8 J.T. Realmuto C
- 9 Justin Crawford CF
- 1 Willy Adames SS
- 2 Luis Arraez 2B
- 3 Matt Chapman 3B
- 4 Rafael Devers 1B
- 5 Heliot Ramos LF
- 6 Jung Hoo Lee RF
- 7 Jerar Encarnacion DH
- 8 Harrison Bader CF
- 9 Patrick Bailey C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-1 with PHI listed first across 5 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.89 vs actual lineup 4.92
- Player execution +1.08 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.92 projection by 1.08 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.11 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Schwarber 0-for-3 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.81 vs actual lineup 4.78
- Player execution −0.78 R/G Players fell 0.78 short of the lineup's 4.78 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.81 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Devers 0-for-4 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 4.9 – 4.8 — actual was 6 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.