Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Taylor Ward LF
- 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
- 3 Pete Alonso 1B
- 4 Adley Rutschman C
- 5 Tyler O'Neill RF
- 6 Ryan Mountcastle DH
- 7 Colton Cowser CF
- 8 Coby Mayo 3B
- 9 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
- 1 Chase Meidroth 2B
- 2 Munetaka Murakami 1B
- 3 Miguel Vargas 3B
- 4 Colson Montgomery SS
- 5 Austin Hays LF
- 6 Andrew Benintendi DH
- 7 Edgar Quero C
- 8 Tristan Peters RF
- 9 Luisangel Acuña CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| CWS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / D- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-0 with BAL listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.12 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.67 vs actual lineup 3.55
- Player execution −1.55 R/G Players fell 1.55 short of the lineup's 3.55 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.67 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Alonso 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.09 vs actual lineup 4.11
- Player execution −3.11 R/G Players fell 3.11 short of the lineup's 4.11 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −3.09 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Murakami 0-for-3 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 3.7 – 4.1 — actual was 2 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.