Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Brendan Donovan 3B
- 2 Cal Raleigh C
- 3 Julio Rodríguez CF
- 4 Josh Naylor 1B
- 5 Randy Arozarena LF
- 6 Luke Raley RF
- 7 Dominic Canzone DH
- 8 Cole Young 2B
- 9 Leo Rivas SS
- 1 Brandon Nimmo RF
- 2 Wyatt Langford LF
- 3 Corey Seager SS
- 4 Jake Burger 1B
- 5 Joc Pederson DH
- 6 Evan Carter CF
- 7 Danny Jansen C
- 8 Josh Smith 2B
- 9 Josh Jung 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| TEX | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-2 with SEA listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.89 vs actual lineup 2.91
- Player execution −1.91 R/G Players fell 1.91 short of the lineup's 2.91 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −1.89 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Donovan 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.04 vs actual lineup 4.01
- Player execution −2.01 R/G Players fell 2.01 short of the lineup's 4.01 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.04 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Nimmo 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 2.9 – 4.0 — actual was 1 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.