Los Angeles Dodgers vs Toronto Blue Jays
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
- 2 Kyle Tucker RF
- 3 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 4 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 5 Max Muncy 3B
- 6 Andy Pages CF
- 7 Alex Freeland 2B
- 8 Dalton Rushing C
- 9 Hyeseong Kim SS
- 1 George Springer DH
- 2 Davis Schneider LF
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
- 4 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 5 Ernie Clement 2B
- 6 Daulton Varsho CF
- 7 Myles Straw RF
- 8 Tyler Heineman C
- 9 Andrés Giménez SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 |
| TOR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-1 with LAD listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 5.00 vs actual lineup 4.99
- Player execution +9.01 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.99 projection by 9.01 (scored 14)
- Game variance +9.00 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Rushing HR from the 8-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.33 vs actual lineup 2.35
- Player execution −0.35 R/G Players fell 0.35 short of the lineup's 2.35 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.33 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Schneider 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 5.0 – 2.3 — actual was 14 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.