Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Brice Turang 2B
- 2 William Contreras C
- 3 Christian Yelich DH
- 4 Garrett Mitchell CF
- 5 Jake Bauers 1B
- 6 Luis Rengifo 3B
- 7 Sal Frelick RF
- 8 David Hamilton SS
- 9 Blake Perkins LF
- 1 Roman Anthony LF
- 2 Masataka Yoshida DH
- 3 Willson Contreras 1B
- 4 Wilyer Abreu RF
- 5 Trevor Story SS
- 6 Marcelo Mayer 2B
- 7 Caleb Durbin 3B
- 8 Carlos Narváez C
- 9 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| BOS | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-1 with MIL listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.69 vs actual lineup 4.78
- Player execution +3.22 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.78 projection by 3.22 (scored 8)
- Game variance +3.31 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Turang 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.81 vs actual lineup 3.77
- Player execution +2.23 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.77 projection by 2.23 (scored 6)
- Game variance +2.19 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Durbin 2-for-4 from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.7 – 3.8 — actual was 8 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.