Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Angels
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ronald Acuña RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin C
- 3 Matt Olson 1B
- 4 Austin Riley 3B
- 5 Mike Yastrzemski LF
- 6 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 7 Dominic Smith DH
- 8 Michael Harris CF
- 9 Mauricio Dubón SS
- 1 Zach Neto SS
- 2 Jorge Soler RF
- 3 Jo Adell LF
- 4 Jeimer Candelario 1B
- 5 Logan O'Hoppe C
- 6 Oswald Peraza 3B
- 7 Yoán Moncada DH
- 8 Bryce Teodosio CF
- 9 Adam Frazier 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| LAA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-0 with ATL listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.44 vs actual lineup 2.48
- Player execution −0.48 R/G Players fell 0.48 short of the lineup's 2.48 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.44 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Dubón HR from the 9-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.12 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.75 vs actual lineup 2.63
- Player execution +3.37 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.63 projection by 3.37 (scored 6)
- Game variance +3.25 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Candelario 0-for-3 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 2.4 – 2.8 — actual was 2 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.