Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jeremy Peña SS
- 2 Yordan Alvarez DH
- 3 Jose Altuve 2B
- 4 Carlos Correa 3B
- 5 Christian Walker 1B
- 6 Cam Smith RF
- 7 Joey Loperfido LF
- 8 Yainer Diaz C
- 9 Jake Meyers CF
- 1 Edouard Julien 2B
- 2 Mickey Moniak DH
- 3 Hunter Goodman C
- 4 Troy Johnston RF
- 5 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 6 Willi Castro SS
- 7 Brenton Doyle CF
- 8 Jake McCarthy LF
- 9 Kyle Karros 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade D+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-2 with HOU listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.82 vs actual lineup 4.75
- Player execution +2.25 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.75 projection by 2.25 (scored 7)
- Game variance +2.18 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Alvarez 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.74 vs actual lineup 4.67
- Player execution +4.33 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.67 projection by 4.33 (scored 9)
- Game variance +4.26 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 4.7 — actual was 7 – 9.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.