Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Luke Raley RF
- 2 Cal Raleigh DH
- 3 Julio Rodríguez CF
- 4 Josh Naylor 1B
- 5 Randy Arozarena LF
- 6 J.P. Crawford SS
- 7 Cole Young 2B
- 8 Mitch Garver C
- 9 Leo Rivas 3B
- 1 Zach Neto SS
- 2 Mike Trout CF
- 3 Nolan Schanuel 1B
- 4 Jorge Soler DH
- 5 Jeimer Candelario 3B
- 6 Jo Adell RF
- 7 Josh Lowe LF
- 8 Logan O'Hoppe C
- 9 Adam Frazier 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| LAA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.88 vs actual lineup 4.85
- Player execution +2.15 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.85 projection by 2.15 (scored 7)
- Game variance +2.12 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Young HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.69 vs actual lineup 4.64
- Player execution +3.36 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.64 projection by 3.36 (scored 8)
- Game variance +3.31 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Frazier 3-for-4 from the 9-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.9 – 4.7 — actual was 7 – 8.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.