Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ronald Acuña Jr. DH
- 2 Drake Baldwin C
- 3 Matt Olson 1B
- 4 Mike Yastrzemski LF
- 5 Michael Harris II CF
- 6 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 7 Mauricio Dubón 3B
- 8 Eli White RF
- 9 Jorge Mateo SS
- 1 Ketel Marte 2B
- 2 Corbin Carroll RF
- 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
- 4 Nolan Arenado 3B
- 5 Jose Fernandez DH
- 6 Carlos Santana 1B
- 7 Tim Tawa LF
- 8 James McCann C
- 9 Jorge Barrosa CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| AZ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.16 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.95 vs actual lineup 4.79
- Player execution +0.21 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.79 projection by 0.21 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.05 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Olson 0-for-3 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.84 vs actual lineup 2.83
- Player execution +3.17 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.83 projection by 3.17 (scored 6)
- Game variance +3.16 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 5.0 – 2.8 — actual was 5 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.