Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Austin Slater RF
- 2 Agustín Ramírez C
- 3 Jakob Marsee CF
- 4 Otto Lopez SS
- 5 Heriberto Hernández LF
- 6 Connor Norby 1B
- 7 Xavier Edwards 2B
- 8 Leo Jiménez DH
- 9 Javier Sanoja 3B
- 1 Trent Grisham CF
- 2 Aaron Judge RF
- 3 Cody Bellinger LF
- 4 Ben Rice 1B
- 5 Giancarlo Stanton DH
- 6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
- 7 Austin Wells C
- 8 José Caballero SS
- 9 Ryan McMahon 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.59 vs actual lineup 3.50
- Player execution +3.50 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.50 projection by 3.50 (scored 7)
- Game variance +3.41 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Conine 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.72 vs actual lineup 3.71
- Player execution +5.29 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.71 projection by 5.29 (scored 9)
- Game variance +5.28 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Rice 0-for-3 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 3.6 – 3.7 — actual was 7 – 9.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.