Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ronald Acuña RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin DH
- 3 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 4 Matt Olson 1B
- 5 Austin Riley 3B
- 6 Eli White LF
- 7 Mauricio Dubón SS
- 8 Michael Harris CF
- 9 Jonah Heim C
- 1 Ketel Marte 2B
- 2 Corbin Carroll RF
- 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
- 4 Gabriel Moreno DH
- 5 Nolan Arenado 3B
- 6 Alek Thomas CF
- 7 James McCann C
- 8 Carlos Santana 1B
- 9 Tim Tawa LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.52 vs actual lineup 3.57
- Player execution −1.57 R/G Players fell 1.57 short of the lineup's 3.57 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.52 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.10 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.12 vs actual lineup 4.02
- Player execution −4.02 R/G Players fell 4.02 short of the lineup's 4.02 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −4.12 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Perdomo 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 3.5 – 4.1 — actual was 2 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.