Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ronald Acuña RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin C
- 3 Matt Olson 1B
- 4 Austin Riley 3B
- 5 Mike Yastrzemski LF
- 6 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 7 Michael Harris CF
- 8 Dominic Smith DH
- 9 Mauricio Dubón SS
- 1 Ketel Marte 2B
- 2 Corbin Carroll DH
- 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
- 4 Gabriel Moreno C
- 5 Alek Thomas CF
- 6 Nolan Arenado 3B
- 7 Carlos Santana 1B
- 8 Jordan Lawlar LF
- 9 Jorge Barrosa RF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 |
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.33 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.94 vs actual lineup 4.61
- Player execution +12.39 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.61 projection by 12.39 (scored 17)
- Game variance +12.06 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Mateo HR from the 8-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.11 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.51 vs actual lineup 3.40
- Player execution −1.40 R/G Players fell 1.40 short of the lineup's 3.40 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.51 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Marte 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.9 – 3.5 — actual was 17 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.