Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Colt Keith 1B
- 2 Kevin McGonigle 3B
- 3 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 4 Riley Greene DH
- 5 Dillon Dingler C
- 6 Kerry Carpenter RF
- 7 Matt Vierling LF
- 8 Parker Meadows CF
- 9 Javier Báez SS
- 1 Ketel Marte DH
- 2 Corbin Carroll RF
- 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
- 4 Gabriel Moreno C
- 5 Ildemaro Vargas 2B
- 6 Nolan Arenado 3B
- 7 Jose Fernandez 1B
- 8 Tim Tawa LF
- 9 Jordan Lawlar CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AZ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.13 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.58 vs actual lineup 3.45
- Player execution −3.45 R/G Players fell 3.45 short of the lineup's 3.45 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −3.58 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.17 vs actual lineup 3.18
- Player execution −2.18 R/G Players fell 2.18 short of the lineup's 3.18 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.17 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Marte 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.6 – 3.2 — actual was 0 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.