Colorado Rockies vs Toronto Blue Jays
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Troy Johnston RF
- 2 Hunter Goodman DH
- 3 Willi Castro 2B
- 4 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 5 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 6 Jordan Beck LF
- 7 Brett Sullivan C
- 8 Brenton Doyle CF
- 9 Kyle Karros 3B
- 1 George Springer DH
- 2 Davis Schneider LF
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
- 4 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 5 Alejandro Kirk C
- 6 Ernie Clement 2B
- 7 Jesús Sánchez RF
- 8 Myles Straw CF
- 9 Andrés Giménez SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.08 vs actual lineup 2.99
- Player execution −0.99 R/G Players fell 0.99 short of the lineup's 2.99 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.08 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Goodman 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost −0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.35 vs actual lineup 3.44
- Player execution −2.44 R/G Players fell 2.44 short of the lineup's 3.44 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.35 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Springer 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.1 – 3.4 — actual was 2 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.