Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Colt Keith 3B
- 2 Kevin McGonigle SS
- 3 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 4 Riley Greene LF
- 5 Kerry Carpenter DH
- 6 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 7 Zach McKinstry RF
- 8 Parker Meadows CF
- 9 Jake Rogers C
- 1 Ketel Marte 2B
- 2 Corbin Carroll RF
- 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
- 4 Gabriel Moreno DH
- 5 Alek Thomas CF
- 6 Jose Fernandez 3B
- 7 Carlos Santana 1B
- 8 James McCann C
- 9 Jordan Lawlar LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.89 vs actual lineup 4.79
- Player execution +0.21 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.79 projection by 0.21 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.11 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Torres 0-for-3 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.17 vs actual lineup 3.22
- Player execution +3.78 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.22 projection by 3.78 (scored 7)
- Game variance +3.83 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Marte 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.9 – 3.2 — actual was 5 – 7.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.