Colorado Rockies vs Toronto Blue Jays
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jake McCarthy LF
- 2 Hunter Goodman C
- 3 Willi Castro 1B
- 4 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 5 TJ Rumfield DH
- 6 Troy Johnston RF
- 7 Brenton Doyle CF
- 8 Kyle Karros 3B
- 9 Ryan Ritter 2B
- 1 George Springer DH
- 2 Jesús Sánchez LF
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
- 4 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 5 Nathan Lukes RF
- 6 Ernie Clement 2B
- 7 Daulton Varsho CF
- 8 Tyler Heineman C
- 9 Andrés Giménez SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.73 vs actual lineup 4.72
- Player execution −3.72 R/G Players fell 3.72 short of the lineup's 4.72 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −3.73 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Castro 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.63 vs actual lineup 4.64
- Player execution +0.36 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.64 projection by 0.36 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.37 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Heineman 2-for-4 from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.7 – 4.6 — actual was 1 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.