Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Brandon Nimmo RF
- 2 Wyatt Langford LF
- 3 Corey Seager SS
- 4 Jake Burger 1B
- 5 Joc Pederson DH
- 6 Josh Smith 2B
- 7 Danny Jansen C
- 8 Evan Carter CF
- 9 Ezequiel Duran 3B
- 1 Taylor Ward LF
- 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
- 3 Pete Alonso 1B
- 4 Adley Rutschman C
- 5 Samuel Basallo DH
- 6 Tyler O'Neill RF
- 7 Colton Cowser CF
- 8 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
- 9 Blaze Alexander 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.77 vs actual lineup 2.80
- Player execution +5.20 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.80 projection by 5.20 (scored 8)
- Game variance +5.23 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jansen HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.87 vs actual lineup 2.87
- Player execution +2.13 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.87 projection by 2.13 (scored 5)
- Game variance +2.13 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Rutschman 0-for-3 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 2.8 – 2.9 — actual was 8 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.