Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Chase DeLauter RF
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Kyle Manzardo DH
- 5 Rhys Hoskins 1B
- 6 Bo Naylor C
- 7 Brayan Rocchio 2B
- 8 Gabriel Arias SS
- 9 Angel Martínez LF
- 1 Shohei Ohtani P
- 2 Kyle Tucker RF
- 3 Mookie Betts SS
- 4 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 5 Will Smith C
- 6 Max Muncy 3B
- 7 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 8 Andy Pages CF
- 9 Alex Freeland 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.38 vs actual lineup 2.39
- Player execution −1.39 R/G Players fell 1.39 short of the lineup's 2.39 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −1.38 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ramírez 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost −0.10 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.28 vs actual lineup 4.39
- Player execution −0.39 R/G Players fell 0.39 short of the lineup's 4.39 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.28 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Betts 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 2.4 – 4.3 — actual was 1 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.